novicane65
UKC Forum Member
Registered: Dec 2013
Location: Nichols Ny
Posts: 1566 |
Re: Percentage
quote: Originally posted by Dave Richards
The odds say you have a 1 in 4 or 1 in 3 depending on cast numbers, you can not go by odds. Odds assume everything is equal and with dogs, that is not the case. Some dogs are better suited for the RULES, opening quicker, etc. and some dogs are just better coon dogs. You also, have other factors to consider, like where you get to hunt, thick coons, thin coons, or no coons. If you have a dog that fits the RULES and is accurate, you should win at least 60 percent of your casts if hunting for money or you have no business hunting that dog. You won't even break even at 60 percent, but you should NOT lose much. Another factor is the pulse size, winning a bunch of small hunts is not the same as winning an occasional big hunt. Winning percentages mean a lot less if you are just winning small local hunts with small purses. Dave
I agree with winning little/local hunts. But at the big hunts if you can avg 40% you're doing pretty good. Look at any of the bigger hunts, not the high $ hunts but the big ones like AO, World hunts, Nationals, Madness. Now if your dog can win 50% of the big hunts then you'll be making a showing. There's only a few that I can think of that got pretty far in every big hunt the dog was in. And the owner(s) are on here pretty regularly of 1 of them. You're right you've got a 25%-33% chance on most casts. But not if you know in advance your dog isn't performing the way it should be.
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